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Bill Roggio Offers Some Interesting Analysis on al-Qaeda in Iraq January 15, 2006, 7:00 pm

Posted by quintapalus in al-Qaeda.

Bill Roggio, who normally writes over at The Fourth Rail, has some interesting things to say this week over at ThreatsWatch.Org:

The strike against Zawahiri comes at a transitional stage of the war. There are reports al-Qaeda is reallocating resources from Iraq, which Zawahiri himself referred to as “the place for the greatest battle of Islam in this era.? Their destination is reportedly Afghanistan. The Coalition is currently conducting operations during the winter months, and the Taliban has yet again vowed to step up attacks. Other evidence points to al-Qaeda expanding operations in Lebanon, with the end target being Israel.

Based on the importance that Zawahiri himself placed on Iraq, the shift of operation focus is curious. Zawahiri has described Afghanistan, along with Chechnya, Kashmir, and Bosnia and other theaters as the “far-flung regions of the Islamic world?, and considers these areas as secondary in al Qaeda’s plans for the formation of the Islamist Caliphate. Yet there is the distinct possibility a drawdown is occurring in Iraq.

Some analysis, some speculation, but a good starting point for discussion of recent events. If I were you, I would definitely read it all.



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