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Some Further Analysis on That Pakistan al-Zawahiri Try… January 16, 2006, 11:54 am

Posted by quintapalus in al-Qaeda.
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My previous post on the subject is here. There has been some back and forth on this event in terms of what actually took place. At first, it was hopeful that he was dead. Then it became a “we missed but we did get a good number of bad guys.” Shortly thereafter, the story was that only civilians were killed and this was a major screw up. However, despite the local protests and Musharraf ‘s obvious duplicity (to his people he expressed solidarity in their outrage, to us he is like, *wink* and *nod*, a line he must toe ever so diligently), later reports started back tracking on all the innocents killed and included a lot of other shady info like bodies being removed and other things. It’s not until you traverse a lot of different sources that you can make an attempt to put together a more complete picture. Thankfully, that is exactly what Confederate Yankee has done on his site.

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Bill Roggio Offers Some Interesting Analysis on al-Qaeda in Iraq January 15, 2006, 7:00 pm

Posted by quintapalus in al-Qaeda.
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Bill Roggio, who normally writes over at The Fourth Rail, has some interesting things to say this week over at ThreatsWatch.Org:

The strike against Zawahiri comes at a transitional stage of the war. There are reports al-Qaeda is reallocating resources from Iraq, which Zawahiri himself referred to as “the place for the greatest battle of Islam in this era.? Their destination is reportedly Afghanistan. The Coalition is currently conducting operations during the winter months, and the Taliban has yet again vowed to step up attacks. Other evidence points to al-Qaeda expanding operations in Lebanon, with the end target being Israel.

Based on the importance that Zawahiri himself placed on Iraq, the shift of operation focus is curious. Zawahiri has described Afghanistan, along with Chechnya, Kashmir, and Bosnia and other theaters as the “far-flung regions of the Islamic world?, and considers these areas as secondary in al Qaeda’s plans for the formation of the Islamist Caliphate. Yet there is the distinct possibility a drawdown is occurring in Iraq.

Some analysis, some speculation, but a good starting point for discussion of recent events. If I were you, I would definitely read it all.

Darn…Missed Again January 14, 2006, 12:16 pm

Posted by quintapalus in al-Qaeda, Terrorism.
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CNN is reporting that Al-Zawahiri was not among those killed in yesterday’s missile strike on a suspected terrorist safe house in Pakistan.

All I can say is “darn.” While it’s frustrating that some of these guys are still breathing oxygen, I do take some comfort that for the past 4 years, they have had to constantly look over their shoulder and can’t sleep in the same bed for two nights in a row.